SpaceX has completed roughly 120 orbital launches through mid-October 2026, driven primarily by a sustained Falcon 9 cadence of Starlink deployments alongside crew, cargo, and national security missions from Florida and California pads. This operational tempo, supported by rapid booster reuse and multiple active pads, positions the 140-159 range as the market consensus. Starship test flights remain limited, with only a handful expected by year-end as the vehicle transitions between blocks. Upcoming milestones include continued Starlink batches and potential Starship Flights 15-16, though regulatory reviews for higher Starship rates will not materially affect 2026 totals. Trader sentiment reflects the proven Falcon reliability and historical launch patterns rather than speculative Starship scaling.
이 마켓은 2026년 1월 1일, 오전 12:00 ET부터 2026년 12월 31일, 오후 11:59 ET까지의 SpaceX 발사 횟수에 따라 결제됩니다. 보고된 SpaceX 총 발사 횟수가 두 구간 사이에 정확히 해당하면, 이 마켓은 더 높은 구간을 기준으로 결제됩니다. 이 마켓의 결제 출처는 https://www.spacex.com/launches입니다.
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