- 통합 러시아가 다음 러시아 국가두마 선거에서 340석에서 354석 사이를 차지할까요?100¢100%
- 다음 러시아 국가 두마 선거에서 통합 러시아당이 280석 미만을 차지할까요?0¢0%
- 통합 러시아가 다음 러시아 국가 두마 선거에서 355석 이상을 차지할까요?0¢0%
- 다음 러시아 국가두마 선거에서 통합 러시아가 325석에서 339석 사이를 차지할까요?0¢0%
- 다음 러시아 국가두마 선거에서 통합러시아가 280석에서 294석 사이를 차지할까요?0¢0%
- 통합 러시아가 다음 러시아 국회(두마) 선거에서 310석에서 324석 사이를 차지할까요?0¢0%
- 다음 러시아 국가두마 선거에서 통합 러시아가 295석에서 309석 사이를 차지할까요?0¢0%
United Russia’s strong performance in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections underpins trader consensus around 340–354 seats. The party captured roughly 58 percent of the party-list vote and prevailed in the large majority of single-mandate districts, producing a projected constitutional majority near its prior record of 343 seats. Official preliminary counts place the total at 349–355, with final certification by the Central Election Commission still pending. Minor revisions from remaining protocols or single-district recounts could shift the precise figure within or just outside the 340–354 range, though systemic factors such as the exclusion of non-systemic opposition and wartime voting arrangements have limited scope for larger swings.
규칙
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.