- Linke가 전체 유효 제2투표의 최소 23%를 획득할까요?100¢100%
- 링케가 유효한 제2투표 전체의 17%에서 20% 사이를 득표할까요?0¢0%
- 링케가 유효한 제2투표 전체의 20%에서 23% 사이를 득표할까요?0¢0%
- 링케가 유효한 제2투표 중 17% 미만을 얻을까요?0¢0%
Die Linke secured approximately 25.7 percent of the vote in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, more than doubling its 2023 share and achieving its strongest historical result in the city-state. This outcome, driven by strong support on housing policy and among younger voters, produced a decisive lead over the CDU and other parties while ending the prior CDU-SPD coalition. Provisional and early official tallies have remained consistent above 23 percent, aligning with the market's near-certain pricing on the 23 percent-plus band. Final certification could still incorporate minor adjustments from remaining counts or recounts, though such shifts have not altered the established range in comparable past elections.
규칙
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).