- 2028年の共和党大統領候補は女性になるでしょうか？8¢8%
The prominent Republican figures positioned for 2028 contention, including vice presidential and gubernatorial leaders who gained visibility in recent cycles, are overwhelmingly male, underpinning trader consensus at 96.5% for No. Party nomination patterns have historically favored established male candidates with strong primary performance and donor networks, and no major female contender has consolidated comparable early support or endorsements since the prior election. This dynamic sustains high implied probability absent a sudden shift. A late surge by a female senator or governor, unexpected primary volatility, or changes in eligibility rules remain the main variables that could still move the outcome before convention delegates decide.
ルール
2028年の米国大統領選で共和党の指名を獲得し、受諾する人物が女性であれば、この市場は「はい」で決済されます。それ以外の場合、この市場は「いいえ」で決着します。 この市場の決着は、共和党の公式情報源の総意に基づきます。 選挙日前に共和党候補が交代しても、市場の決着は変わりません。
機械翻訳です。解釈に相違がある場合は原文が優先されます。