- Nothingがいつか起きたら：Obama96¢96%
Barack Obama’s post-presidency schedule through mid-October 2026 has centered on standard former-president activities, including midterm campaign appearances for Democratic Senate and gubernatorial candidates in states such as Ohio and Michigan, private fundraisers for party committees, and public speeches abroad. The Obama Presidential Center opened in Chicago in June without incident, and recent remarks have focused on democracy, technology policy, and civic engagement. No verified reports or official actions have surfaced regarding federal charges, arrests, or changes in marital status. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to resolution as “Nothing” by year-end, viewing the absence of triggering events as consistent with established patterns for the former president.
ルール
市場の作成から2026年12月31日 23:59 ETまでの間に、以下のいずれかの条件が満たされた場合、この市場は「Something」で決着します： - Obamaが連邦レベルで起訴される - Obamaが逮捕される - Obamaが離婚する それ以外の場合、この市場は「Nothing」で決着します。 このマーケットの完全なルールはこちらで確認できます： https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
機械翻訳です。解釈に相違がある場合は原文が優先されます。