- 次のGrokモデル（4.7以上）は2026年9月9日までにリリースされますか？23¢
- 次のGrokモデル（4.7以降）は2026年9月10日にリリースされますか？34¢
- 次のGrokモデル（4.7以降）は2026年9月11日にリリースされますか？36¢
- 次のGrokモデル（4.7以降）は2026年9月12日にリリースされますか？2¢
- 次のGrokモデル（4.7以降）は2026年9月13日にリリースされますか？10¢
- 次のGrokモデル（4.7以降）は2026年9月14日にリリースされますか？4¢
- 次のGrokモデル（4.7以降）は2026年9月15日にリリースされますか？4¢
- 次のGrokモデル（4.7以降）は2026年9月16日にリリースされますか？4¢
- 次のGrokモデル（4.7以降）は2026年9月17日にリリースされますか？4¢
- 次のGrokモデル（4.7以降）は2026年9月18日にリリースされますか？55¢
- 次のGrokモデル（4.7以降）は2026年9月19日にリリースされますか？1¢
- 次のGrokモデル（4.7以降）は2026年9月20日にリリースされますか？1¢
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 would launch in roughly 10 days, placing the target near September 12, anchors the current market-implied odds, yet traders assign the highest probability to September 18 because xAI timelines have repeatedly slipped during supplemental training and scaling phases. The 2.1-trillion-parameter model, incorporating SpaceX engineering data after Grok 4.6 shipped in mid-August, faces typical pre-release hurdles such as final reinforcement learning tuning and internal validation that have pushed prior versions later. With the current date at September 7 and no model card or API identifier yet published, the clustering of probabilities around September 10–18 reflects both the founder’s latest signal and the market’s adjustment for historical cadence, while low odds on no release by month-end underscore expectations of an imminent rollout.