次のGoogle Gemini Flashモデル( 3.8以降)は...によってリリースされましたか?
AIgoogleテクノロジージェミニAIリリースジェミニ・フラッシュ
開始日時
2026-08-14
終了日時
2026-10-31
24時間出来高
$53K
総出来高
$65K
  • 次のGoogle Gemini Flashモデル(3.8+)は2026年9月30日までにリリースされますか?99¢
  • 次のGoogle Gemini Flashモデル(3.8+)は2026年9月15日までにリリースされますか?95¢
  • Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?99¢
  • 次のGoogle Gemini Flashモデル(3.8以上)は2026年9月2日までにリリースされますか?62¢
  • 2026年9月11日までに次のGoogle Gemini Flashモデル(3.8+)がリリースされますか?97¢
  • 次のGoogle Gemini Flashモデル(3.8+)は2026年9月1日までにリリースされますか?
  • 次のGoogle Gemini Flashモデル(3.8以上)は2026年9月4日までにリリースされますか?95¢
  • 次のGoogle Gemini Flashモデル(3.8以上)は2026年9月9日までにリリースされますか?95¢
  • 次のGoogle Gemini Flashモデル(3.8以上)は2026年9月3日までにリリースされますか?95¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Google's aggressive Flash iteration cadence—releasing Gemini 3.7 Flash on August 13 after 3.6 Flash just three weeks earlier—has set expectations for another rapid update. Internal testing of a Gemini 3.8 Flash Preview on the Jetski platform emerged in late August reports, with employees noting clearer improvements over 3.7 in coding, agentic workflows, and reduced output verbosity. A September 1 Wall Street Journal report citing sources indicated a possible public release as soon as September 2, aligning with trader consensus reflected in near-term market pricing. This pace responds to competitive pressure in cost-efficient large language models from rivals like OpenAI and Anthropic, while the flagship 3.5 Pro remains delayed. No official Google confirmation exists yet, leaving room for last-minute shifts in timing or scope.

次のGoogle Gemini Flashモデル( 3.8以降)は...によってリリースされましたか?

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