- 8月31日までにモジュタバ・ハメネイが公の場に現れるか？3¢
- モフタバ・ハーメネイが9月30日までに公の場に姿を見せるか？7¢
- モジタバ・ハーメネイが12月31日までに公の場に姿を現すか？28¢
- モフタバ・ハメネイは10月31日までに公の場に現れましたか？13¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Mojtaba Khamenei has issued written statements and appeared in undated or archival footage since succeeding his father as Supreme Leader in March 2026, yet no verified live public appearance has occurred following the February 28 airstrike that killed Ali Khamenei and injured Mojtaba. Iranian officials attribute the prolonged absence to recovery from reported facial and leg wounds requiring multiple surgeries, alongside security protocols amid ongoing regional tensions. He has participated in internal decision-making through audio channels and skipped key events including the July funeral and August memorial observances. Trader focus centers on whether upcoming official meetings or commemorations in the coming weeks will produce a confirmed appearance or if health, procedural, or political factors sustain the pattern of non-visibility.