カンザス州上院議員選挙:セジウィック郡の勝者
政治選挙米国選挙上院中間選挙カンザス州中間選挙
開始日時
2026-09-28
終了日時
2026-11-03
24時間出来高
$4K
総出来高
$4K
  • 2026年のカンザス州上院選挙で、共和党はセジウィック郡を制するか?52¢
  • 2026年のカンザス州上院選挙で、民主党はセジウィック郡を制するでしょうか?43¢

Recent polling and forecasts show the Kansas U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Roger Marshall and Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton as a toss-up, with averages near even or slight Hamilton leads amid heavy outside spending from both parties. Sedgwick County, home to Wichita and a pivotal suburban area, remains competitive due to its mixed demographics and voter turnout patterns that mirror statewide shifts. Marshall holds a projected edge there in county-level simulations, consistent with trader pricing favoring him to carry the county on November 3. Upcoming events, including a planned Trump visit to Wichita, could influence late momentum, while voter enthusiasm gaps and independent support remain key variables that may determine the final margin.

ルール

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Sedgwick County in the election for United States Senator from Kansas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Kansas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Sedgwick County.

カンザス州上院議員選挙:セジウィック郡の勝者

関連する市場