イングランド銀行は12月に決定しましたか?
金利イングランド経済イングランド銀行マクロインジケータBOEグローバルレート
開始日時
2026-10-15
終了日時
2026-12-17
24時間出来高
$5K
総出来高
$5K
  • イングランド銀行は2026年12月の会合後に50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げを行いますか?4¢
  • イングランド銀行は2026年12月会合後に金利を25ベーシスポイント引き下げるか?4¢
  • 2026年12月の会合後もイングランド銀行の金利に変更はないか?59¢
  • イングランド銀行は2026年12月の会合後に金利を25ベーシスポイント引き上げますか?32¢
  • イングランド銀行は2026年12月以降の会合で50ベーシスポイント以上の利上げを実施しますか?6¢

Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy prices and pushed UK inflation higher than the Bank of England's 2% target, with August CPI at 3.1% and forecasts exceeding 4% in early 2027. This has shifted trader consensus toward a 25 basis point hike to 4% at the November meeting, reflected in Reuters economist polls from mid-October, while market-implied odds favor holding Bank Rate steady in December at 57.5% probability. Persistent upside inflation risks from second-round effects contrast with the MPC's 6-3 September hold vote and Chief Economist Huw Pill's caution against aggressive tightening. Labor market data and the December 17 decision will serve as key near-term catalysts influencing the rate path versus official guidance.

ルール

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for December 17, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

イングランド銀行は12月に決定しましたか?

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