- 8月の年間インフレ率は3.4%になりますか？100¢100%
- 8月の年間インフレ率は3.3％になりますか？0¢0%
- 8月の年間インフレ率は3.5％になりますか？0¢0%
- 8月の年間インフレ率は3.8％になりますか？0¢0%
- 8月の年間インフレ率は3.7%になりますか？0¢0%
- 8月の年間インフレ率は3.6%になりますか？0¢0%
- 8月の年間インフレ率は3.2%になりますか？0¢0%
- 8月の年間インフレ率は3.0％になりますか？0¢0%
- 8月の年間インフレ率は4.0％以上になりますか？0¢0%
- 8月の年間インフレ率は3.1％になりますか？0¢0%
- 8月の年間インフレ率は2.9％以下になりますか？0¢0%
- 8月の年間インフレ率は3.9%になりますか？0¢0%
The August 2026 CPI report, released today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, confirmed the annual inflation rate at 3.4%, unchanged from July and aligning closely with consensus forecasts. This outcome reflects offsetting pressures: energy prices surged 16.3% year-over-year, fueled by a 3.9% monthly jump in gasoline, while shelter inflation eased to 3.0% and food costs moderated to 2.7%. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 2.4% annually, down from 2.5% the prior month. Market-implied odds reflect this verified release, with traders assigning near-certainty to the 3.4% print given the official data. Potential challenges include any late revisions to the unadjusted figures or shifts in how markets interpret the monthly 0.4% headline increase ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
ルール
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.