- APは米上院の主導権を11月3日午後10時59分までに発表しますか？24¢
- APは11月3日午後11時59分までに米上院の支配政党を発表しますか？42¢
- APは11月4日午前0時59分までに米上院の支配を発表しますか？48¢
- APは11月4日午前3時59分までに米上院の支配政党を発表しますか？73¢
- APは11月4日午後11時59分までにアメリカ上院の支配について発表しますか？79¢
- APは11月6日午後11時59分までに米上院の支配をコールしますか？79¢
- APは11月13日午後11時59分までに米上院の支配を発表しますか？82¢
- APは11月18日午後11時59分までに米上院の支配政党を発表しますか？83¢
- APは12月2日午後11時59分までに米上院の支配政党を発表しますか？87¢
- APは1月4日午後11時59分までに米上院の支配を発表しますか？97¢
Recent polling averages and forecaster adjustments show Democrats holding a modest edge in the battle for Senate control, with several Republican-held seats in states such as Maine, Texas, Ohio, Alaska, and Kansas now rated as competitive or leaning Democratic. Cook Political Report recently shifted ratings in South Carolina and Mississippi toward Democrats while moving Minnesota closer to Republicans, reflecting tightening margins amid voter concerns over economic conditions and foreign policy. President Trump has increased campaign activity for GOP candidates in key states, while Democratic challengers benefit from stronger fundraising in several contests. With Election Day on November 3, 2026, the narrow projected margins in toss-up races could delay a definitive AP call on majority control until additional ballots are counted or recounts resolved.
ルール
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET). Otherwise it will resolve to “No”. Only calls that Senate control has been determined will qualify. Individual race calls that do not state that Senate control has been determined will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.