The White House X account under the current administration maintains a high posting volume driven by real-time rapid-response content, event coverage, and promotional material. Pew Research analysis from mid-2026 showed the account posting more than twice as frequently as during the prior term, with affiliated accounts like Rapid Response 47 averaging nearly 40 posts daily. Recent activity on October 15 included multiple updates on presidential travel to Montana, science and innovation events, and administration priorities, consistent with patterns of several posts per hour during active periods. The week of October 16–23 follows the new Press Secretary’s inaugural briefing and ongoing travel, which typically generate additional official posts, quotes, and media amplification. Trader consensus at 72% for 200+ posts reflects this sustained output rate, while lower brackets receive minimal probability due to the established cadence of government and rapid-response accounts. No scheduled events in the immediate window indicate a sharp reduction in volume.
Pasar ini akan diselesaikan berdasarkan jumlah postingan yang dibuat White House (@WhiteHouse) di X antara 16 Oktober, 12.00 ET dan 23 Oktober 2026, 12.00 ET. Untuk keperluan pasar ini, hanya postingan di feed utama, postingan kutipan, dan repost yang akan dihitung. Balasan TIDAK akan dihitung dalam total; namun, balasan yang tercatat di feed utama akan dihitung oleh pelacak. Postingan yang dihapus akan dihitung selama postingan tersebut tetap tersedia cukup lama untuk tercatat oleh pelacak (~5 menit). Sumber penyelesaian pasar ini adalah angka «Post Counter» untuk postingan yang tersedia di https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Postingan individual dapat dilihat dengan mengklik “Export Data”. Jika pelacak tidak diperbarui dengan benar sesuai aturan, X sendiri dapat digunakan sebagai sumber resolusi sekunder.
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