- Apakah Marine Le Pen akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Prancis 2027?32¢
- Apakah Éric Zemmour akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Prancis 2027?<1¢
- Akankah David Lisnard menang dalam pemilihan presiden Prancis 2027?3¢
- Apakah Laurent Wauquiez akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Prancis 2027?<1¢
- Apakah Gabriel Attal akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Prancis 2027?4¢
- Apakah François Hollande akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Prancis 2027?3¢
- Apakah Jean-Luc Mélenchon akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Prancis 2027?14¢
- Apakah Fabien Roussel akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Prancis 2027?<1¢
- Akankah Dominique de Villepin memenangkan pemilihan presiden Prancis 2027?2¢
- Apakah François Asselineau akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Prancis 2027?<1¢
- Apakah Nicolas Dupont-Aignan akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Prancis 2027?<1¢
- Apakah Valérie Pécresse akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Prancis 2027?<1¢
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Marine Le Pen maintains her position as the clear frontrunner in polling aggregates for the 2027 French presidential election, buoyed by National Rally voter loyalty and her recent candidacy declaration following a favorable court ruling on eligibility. Édouard Philippe leads moderate contenders but trails amid a crowded centrist field that includes Gabriel Attal and others, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon's recent poll surge to the mid-teens raises the prospect of a first-round runoff between the political extremes. This fragmentation of center and left votes, combined with low single-digit support for numerous other declared or potential candidates, sustains the tight positioning among top contenders. Scheduled developments such as party conventions and further polling ahead of the April 2027 vote could consolidate support or widen gaps.