- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?100¢
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?0¢
The market has locked in 220-239 tweets as the near-certain outcome because the September 15-22 window closed with Elon Musk's verified X activity falling squarely in that band, reflecting his established daily posting rhythm amid ongoing platform engagement and public commentary. Traders priced in this range early based on consistent volume patterns, with no late surges or pauses to shift the count. An upset into higher brackets would require an unprecedented final-day spike exceeding 20 additional posts, an event historically rare for Musk even during high-profile news cycles.
Aturan
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 15 12:00 PM ET to September 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.