- Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30?97¢97%
- Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30?94¢94%
- Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by November 30?92¢92%
- Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by November 30?92¢92%
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by November 30?81¢81%
- Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by November 30?70¢70%
- Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30?68¢68%
- Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by November 30?59¢59%
- Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30?59¢59%
- Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by November 30?57¢57%
- Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30?56¢56%
- Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?53¢53%
97,4%Xi Jinping14,9 E $ forgalom
94,1%Mark Carney22,7 E $ forgalom
2%92%Vladimir Putin2 E $ forgalom
41%92%Friedrich Merz11 E $ forgalom
1%80,5%Mohammed bin Salman1,4 E $ forgalom
20%69,5%Mark Rutte3,3 E $ forgalom
2%68%Volodymyr Zelenskyy3 E $ forgalom
2%59%Andy Burnham9,3 E $ forgalom
3%58,5%Elon Musk10,6 E $ forgalom
4%57%Emmanuel Macron49 E $ forgalom
7%55,5%Lula da Silva11,7 E $ forgalom
6%52,5%Ursula von der Leyen89,8 E $ forgalom
Trump’s diplomatic focus on de-escalating tensions with Iran and advancing Ukraine-Russia talks shapes trader views on likely conversations before the November 30 deadline. A November 6 phone call with Qatar’s Emir centered on mediation efforts, while an earlier call with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu addressed potential military options and a November 1 meeting with a Putin envoy signaled direct channels on Ukraine. Scheduled U.S.-mediated working-level sessions in Abu Dhabi on November 10-11 involving Russian and Ukrainian representatives, alongside prior signals of engagement with Chinese leadership, reinforce expectations for interactions with major counterparts. These developments align with the administration’s emphasis on bilateral and multilateral diplomacy in the short window.
Szabályok
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.