- Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?43¢43%
- Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?40¢40%
- Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?29¢29%
- Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?24¢24%
- Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?20¢20%
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?18¢18%
- Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?18¢18%
- Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?17¢17%
- Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?16¢16%
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?14¢14%
- Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?12¢12%
- Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?12¢12%
- 13%42,5%Pete Hegseth202,6 E $ forgalom
- 10%39,5%Susie Wiles81,2 E $ forgalom
- 2%29,2%Kristi Noem102 E $ forgalom
- 1%23,5%Markwayne Mullin3,2 E $ forgalom
- 2%20%Howard Lutnick117,1 E $ forgalom
1%17,5%Kash Patel324,9 E $ forgalom- 5%17,5%Tom Homan2,5 E $ forgalom
- 6%17%Stephen Miller20,4 E $ forgalom
- 1%15,5%Marco Rubio179,2 E $ forgalom
- 6%13,5%Robert F. Kennedy Jr.100,1 E $ forgalom
- 5%12%Russell Vought2 E $ forgalom
- 3%11,5%Lee Zeldin35 E $ forgalom
Post-midterm Democratic gains have intensified scrutiny on the Trump administration, with multiple officials facing calls to depart amid policy backlash and personnel shake-up speculation. Record Senate-confirmed turnover has already occurred, including firings or forced exits of cabinet members such as Kristi Noem, Pam Bondi, and Lori Chavez-DeRemer, plus Tulsi Gabbard’s resignation, driven by scandals, investigations, and loyalty concerns. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth confronts particular pressure over the Iran conflict’s political costs, while other senior figures like Susie Wiles and Marco Rubio face rumors of exits tied to 2028 ambitions or congressional probes into areas like Epstein files and immigration enforcement. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics through elevated probabilities for several named individuals before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Szabályok
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.