- Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026?13¢13%
- Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by March 31, 2027?19¢19%
- 7%12,5%December 31, 20267,1 E $ forgalom
- 21%18,5%March 31, 20274,3 E $ forgalom
Poland's Constitutional Tribunal faces an unresolved leadership dispute after judges elected by the Sejm in 2026 entered the Warsaw building on October 30 with police assistance and suspended President Bogdan Święczkowski and Vice-President Bartłomiej Sochański for one month. The Tusk government coalition frames the move as restoring rule of law and addressing prior appointments, while President Karol Nawrocki and Law and Justice-aligned judges describe it as an unlawful takeover, with Święczkowski continuing to assert his six-year term remains intact and vowing daily attempts to regain access. The Supreme Court dismissed Święczkowski's reinstatement complaints on November 6, citing lack of jurisdiction. Disciplinary panels are now examining the suspensions, and the justice minister has filed multiple motions to lift immunity for potential prosecution. Outcomes hinge on further General Assembly votes, any new legislation altering terms, and resolution of parallel claims over quorum and legitimacy before the one-month suspension period ends.
Szabályok
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bogdan Święczkowski is reinstated as President of the Constitutional Tribunal of Poland by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If Bogdan Święczkowski is otherwise permanently removed from office, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify as reinstated, Święczkowski must officially regain his powers as President of the Constitutional Tribunal and no longer be suspended from office. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Government of Poland, specifically the Constitutional Tribunal, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.