- Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?44¢44%
- Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?26¢26%
- Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?19¢19%
- Will Nvidia be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?6¢6%
- Will Meta be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?6¢6%
- Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?6¢6%
- Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?3¢3%
- Will Alibaba be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will DeepSeek be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Baidu be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Microsoft be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Meituan be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?<1¢<1%
17%44%Google3,3 E $ forgalom
11%25,5%OpenAI8,4 E $ forgalom
6%18,5%Anthropic5,8 E $ forgalom
2%6,4%Nvidia758 $ forgalom
5,7%Meta1 E $ forgalom
5,6%Moonshot812,8 $ forgalom
2,7%SpaceXAI708,8 $ forgalom
0,8%Alibaba719,5 $ forgalom
0,8%DeepSeek714,9 $ forgalom
0,5%Baidu328 $ forgalom
0,5%Microsoft419,1 $ forgalom
0,5%Meituan560,6 $ forgalom
OpenAI holds a slight edge in market-implied odds for second-best AI agent lab by end of December, followed closely by Google, reflecting intense competition in autonomous agent capabilities built on large language models. Traders see OpenAI's recent model iterations and agent framework advancements positioning it ahead, while Google's integration of Gemini with search and cloud infrastructure offers strong differentiation in real-world task execution and developer adoption. Anthropic trails due to more conservative release pacing focused on safety benchmarks. Key swing factors include upcoming model launches, API usage growth, and third-party evaluations of agent reliability before year-end resolution. The tight spread underscores how quickly new demonstrations or partnerships can shift sentiment in this fast-evolving space.
Szabályok
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".