Will Édouard Philippe win the fourth-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?23¢23%
Will David Lisnard win the fourth-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?18¢18%
Will Gabriel Attal win the fourth-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?18¢18%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the fourth-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?17¢17%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the fourth-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?17¢17%
Will Christine Lagarde win the fourth-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?16¢16%
Will François Hollande win the fourth-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?15¢15%
Will François Ruffin win the fourth-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?12¢12%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the fourth-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?11¢11%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the fourth-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?10¢10%
Will Marine Tondelier win the fourth-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?8¢8%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the fourth-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?6¢6%
Szabályok
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).