- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027?20¢20%
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?2¢2%
- 2%20%December 31, 2027685,6 $ forgalom
- 2,1%December 31, 2026660,7 E $ forgalom
Turkey’s next presidential and parliamentary elections are scheduled for May 2028, though ruling alliance figures have floated holding them earlier in March or April via a parliamentary decision under Article 116 to enable Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to seek a third term despite the two-term constitutional limit. Erdoğan’s Justice and Development Party and its Nationalist Movement Party ally hold roughly 326 seats, falling short of the 360-vote threshold needed for such a snap vote, with additional support from smaller parties still required. Recent statements from presidential adviser Mehmet Uçum and Nationalist Movement Party leader Devlet Bahçeli have reinforced the push for an earlier 2028 ballot, while Erdoğan has referenced “approaching elections” in public remarks. Opposition Republican People’s Party faces ongoing legal pressures and internal strains that could influence coalition dynamics and turnout ahead of any vote.
Szabályok
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.