- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?4¢4%
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?31¢31%
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?33¢33%
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?21¢21%
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?7¢7%
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?5¢5%
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?2¢2%
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?<1¢<1%
- 4,1%<40626,6 $ forgalom
- 30,5%40-64811,1 $ forgalom
- 32,5%65-891,1 E $ forgalom
- 21%90-1141,5 E $ forgalom
- 7%115-139878,8 $ forgalom
- 4,8%140-164638,8 $ forgalom
- 1,8%165-189562,5 $ forgalom
- 0,6%190-214557,8 $ forgalom
- 0,4%215-239668,8 $ forgalom
- 0,5%240+1,7 E $ forgalom
The closely matched market-implied odds between the 40-64 and 65-89 tweet ranges reflect traders' assessment of Elon Musk's variable weekend posting patterns on X, where activity often settles in the mid-range absent major business catalysts. Historical volume shows Musk averaging dozens of posts daily during routine periods, with fluctuations tied to confirmed company updates at Tesla or SpaceX, though no high-profile announcements are currently scheduled for November 7-9. The narrow spread between the frontrunning bins underscores the inherent unpredictability of real-time engagement driven by breaking news or personal commentary, while lower-probability bins for higher counts account for occasional spikes during active news cycles.
Szabályok
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 7 12:00 PM ET to November 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.