2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?
PolitikaVálasztásokEgyesült ÁllamokUSA-választásDerivatívák2028-as választás
Kezdés dátuma
2026-10-16
Záró dátum
2026-11-30
24 órás forgalom
$21K
Teljes forgalom
$84K
  • JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?31¢31%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?2¢2%
  • Gavin Newsom 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?3¢3%
  • Marco Rubio 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?3¢3%
  • Kamala Harris 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?3¢3%
  • Another candidate is the 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?62¢62%

The 2028 presidential nomination contest shows tight clustering around 50 percent implied probabilities for the leading contenders, reflecting trader consensus on an open field with no decisive frontrunner yet established. Multiple candidates retain viable paths through primary dynamics, shifting voter coalitions in battleground states, and uncertain turnout patterns ahead of the next electoral cycle. Factors sustaining the equilibrium include the early stage of the race, diverse fields across parties, and limited recent catalysts that could consolidate support. Developments such as strong primary polling trends, key endorsements, legislative outcomes, or performance in upcoming contests could create separation by clarifying paths to victory and altering nomination probabilities.

Szabályok

This market will resolve according to the option with the highest hourly odds value in the "2028 Presidential Winner by Candidate" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on November 30, 2026. If that option is not a listed outcome of this market, this market will resolve to "Other". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for an option (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. An option with no hourly odds value published in that period will not be considered. If two or more options are tied for the highest value, the tie will be broken in favor of the tied option with the higher value in the most recent earlier window in which their values differed. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied option whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed end date, this market will resolve in favor of the outcome of the underlying market if it is a listed outcome, and otherwise to "Other". If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the options in the "2028 Presidential Winner by Candidate" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/president-2028-candidate.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.

2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

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