- Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years?9¢9 %
- Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?45¢45 %
- Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?45¢45 %
- Will 2026 rank between 13th and 15th among the highest domestic box office years?3¢3 %
- Will 2026 rank below 15th among the highest domestic box office years?5¢5 %
- 6 %9,1 %6th or higherPromet 12,8 tis. $
- 45 %7th-9thPromet 11,8 tis. $
- 14 %45 %10th-12thPromet 16,9 tis. $
- 2,5 %13th-15thPromet 1 tis. $
- 1 %4,6 %Below 15thPromet 1 tis. $
Strong summer blockbusters and franchise momentum have propelled 2026 domestic totals well ahead of 2025, with year-to-date figures surpassing $8 billion by October and projections pointing toward roughly $10–10.5 billion by year-end. Hits including Spider-Man: Brand New Day, The Odyssey, Toy Story 5, and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have delivered outsized openings and legs, while originals like Obsession and Backrooms added breadth. This positions the year for a mid-pack historical ranking, with trader sentiment split between 7th–9th and 10th–12th as final November–December releases and holdover performance determine whether totals edge into the upper tier or settle lower. Historical benchmarks like 2018’s $11.9 billion peak and recent post-pandemic highs around $9 billion underscore the competitive gap, leaving room for late catalysts to shift the narrow odds.
Pravila
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final. 2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank. This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes. This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years. If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.