This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
The @WhiteHouse X account has maintained elevated posting volume under the current administration, exceeding prior levels by more than double according to comparative analyses, with affiliated handles like @RapidResponse47 and @PressSec contributing to overall output. Trader consensus centers on the 160-199 range because recent daily activity has averaged near 27 posts, driven by routine policy updates, economic data releases such as the August jobs report, and engagement-focused content including promotional campaigns. No major procedural shifts, holidays, or breaking developments in the first days of September have altered this baseline pace, keeping lower and higher brackets at minimal implied probabilities absent unexpected escalations in messaging needs.