Israël lancera-t-il une offensive terrestre majeure à Gaza d'ici... ?
Date de début
2025-10-19
Date de fin
2027-01-01
Volume 24h
$7K
Volume total
$770K
- Israël lancera-t-il une offensive terrestre majeure à Gaza d'ici le 31 décembre ?11¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 5, 9:00 PM ET, and May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.