- Si Nothing devait un jour arriver : Obama96¢96 %
Barack Obama’s post-presidency schedule through mid-October 2026 has centered on standard former-president activities, including midterm campaign appearances for Democratic Senate and gubernatorial candidates in states such as Ohio and Michigan, private fundraisers for party committees, and public speeches abroad. The Obama Presidential Center opened in Chicago in June without incident, and recent remarks have focused on democracy, technology policy, and civic engagement. No verified reports or official actions have surfaced regarding federal charges, arrests, or changes in marital status. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to resolution as “Nothing” by year-end, viewing the absence of triggering events as consistent with established patterns for the former president.
Règles
Ce marché sera résolu sur « Something » si l’une des conditions suivantes est remplie entre la création du marché et le 31 décembre 2026, à 23:59 ET : - Obama est inculpé au niveau fédéral - Obama est arrêté - Obama divorce Dans le cas contraire, ce marché sera résolu par « Nothing ». Les règles complètes de ce marché sont disponibles ici : https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
Traduction automatique. En cas de litige, l'original fait foi.