- La température maximale à Karachi sera-t-elle de 31°C ou moins le 14 octobre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée à Karachi sera-t-elle de 32°C le 14 octobre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée à Karachi sera-t-elle de 33°C le 14 octobre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Karachi sera-t-elle de 34°C le 14 octobre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée à Karachi sera-t-elle de 35°C le 14 octobre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée à Karachi sera-t-elle de 36°C le 14 octobre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée à Karachi sera-t-elle de 37°C le 14 octobre ?>99¢
- La température maximale à Karachi sera-t-elle de 38°C le 14 octobre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Karachi sera-t-elle de 39°C le 14 octobre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée à Karachi sera-t-elle de 40°C le 14 octobre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée à Karachi atteindra-t-elle 41°C ou plus le 14 octobre ?<1¢
Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts place Karachi’s maximum temperature for October 14 in the 36–38°C range under mainly dry, hot daytime conditions with light southwesterly winds. Recent observations show the city recorded 39°C the prior day, 2.2°C above normal, consistent with persistent warm, low-humidity patterns across Sindh. Multiple global models converge near or slightly below this band, yet trader positioning at 37°C (99.8% implied probability) reflects the narrow official outlook and typical afternoon peak timing. Resolution hinges on the highest official reading at designated stations; modest deviations from forecast steering or localized sea-breeze effects remain the main variables that could shift the outcome within the narrow band.
Règles
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.