The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey has surged to an 85.5% implied probability for the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards after its July 2026 release delivered blockbuster box office, a 96% Rotten Tomatoes score, and enthusiastic early Academy screenings that highlighted its technical achievements in cinematography, editing, sound, production design, and score. The film’s scale and critical consensus position it for double-digit nods across major and craft categories, echoing Oppenheimer’s path while potentially challenging nomination records. Dune: Messiah sits at 14.4% as a late-year franchise closer with built-in guild support but limited current visibility ahead of its December release. Earlier 2026 titles like Project Hail Mary hold minimal shares at 0.9% amid The Odyssey’s momentum, with fall festivals and guild nominations the next key catalysts that could shift the race.