- Will an F1 race be held in Qatar in 2026?73¢73%
- Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?71¢71%
- Will an F1 race be held in Saudi Arabia in 2026?5¢5%
Ongoing Middle East tensions have reshaped the 2026 Formula 1 calendar, prompting cancellations of the Saudi Arabian Grand Prix and relocation of the Bahrain event to Malaysia’s Sepang circuit in October—the first Malaysian round since 2017. Imola dropped from the schedule while a new Madrid circuit debuted as the Spanish Grand Prix in September, alongside the retained Barcelona event. The Dutch Grand Prix at Zandvoort concludes its run after 2026. Uncertainty persists over the Qatar and Abu Dhabi finales scheduled for late November and December, with Imola positioned as a potential European replacement if hostilities continue. These geopolitical and logistical shifts directly influence which nations appear on the final roster.
Rules
If an FIA Formula 1 World Championship Grand Prix is held in a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a race is considered "held" in a country if a Grand Prix that is part of the FIA Formula 1 World Championship takes place at a circuit physically located within the territory of the listed country and an official race classification is published by the FIA. The official name or sponsor title of the Grand Prix will have no bearing on the resolution of this market; only the physical location of the circuit will be considered. Exhibition events, testing sessions, and non-championship races will not count toward a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (https://www.formula1.com/en/results) and the FIA, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.