- Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?<1¢
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?2¢
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?1¢
- Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?<1¢
- Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?1¢
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?<1¢
- Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?<1¢
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?<1¢
- Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?<1¢
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?<1¢
- Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?<1¢
- Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Anthropic's Claude models, particularly recent iterations like Fable 5 and Opus 5, have posted the highest scores on LiveBench's Coding category in the latest verified updates, driving the 96% implied probability for the company to hold the top spot by end of August. These results stem from strong performance on contamination-resistant tasks measuring code generation, agentic workflows, and real-world programming benchmarks, outpacing OpenAI and Google entries in head-to-head evaluations. With resolution days away and no confirmed new model drops or major capability jumps reported in the past week, trader consensus reflects this sustained edge. A last-minute release or update from competitors could still shift the outcome if it demonstrates superior benchmark results before the cutoff.