- Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?98¢98%
- Will Shelly-Ann Starlette Cerrelli win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?<1¢<1%
- Will Parveen Bola win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?<1¢<1%
Steven Del Duca’s position as incumbent mayor of Vaughan since 2022 underpins the market’s 97.3% consensus for his re-election, reflecting his record of a 2026 budget with no property tax increase, infrastructure advances on transit and roads, and emphasis on public safety amid resident priorities like traffic and crime. Nominations closed in August with limited opposition from Shelly-Ann Starlette Cerrelli and Parveen Bola, and recent candidate forums have centered on shared local issues without shifting momentum. Advance voting concluded October 18 ahead of the October 26 election. Trader pricing aligns with Del Duca’s established approval levels and incumbency advantages typical in Ontario municipal contests. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or major local controversies could still alter results before resolution.
Rules
The 2026 Vaughan, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vaughan, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vaughan, Ontario.