- Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 9 above $375?96¢96%
- Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 9 above $385?95¢95%
- Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 9 above $390?93¢93%
- 13%95.5%$375$60 Vol.
- 40%95.2%$385$4.4k Vol.
- 56%92.5%$390$3.3k Vol.
Tesla shares rose sharply during the week of November 9, closing November 12 at $397.45 after trading as low as $338 intraday on November 5. The primary driver was sustained momentum from the October 21 Q3 2026 earnings release, where adjusted EPS of $0.48 beat consensus by 6–10% while free cash flow reached a positive $1.53 billion—well above expectations of a multi-billion burn. Automotive gross margins excluding credits improved to 18.1%, and management lowered full-year capex guidance to roughly $20 billion. Strong FSD attach rates above 75% in North America and Cybertruck production extensions provided additional support. Traders are now monitoring the November 13 PPI release and broader risk sentiment for any impact on the weekly close.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.