- Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31?38¢38%
Recent reporting has established two confirmed extramarital relationships for Jensen Huang, driving the 67.5% market-implied probability that no third affair surfaces by year-end. The first, with Megaspeed executive Alice Huang (suspected by U.S. intelligence of ties to Chinese state security), broke in late October 2026 and prompted Huang’s public admission on November 8. The second, with Nvidia healthcare VP Kimberly Powell, emerged via New York Times reporting on November 11–12 citing video evidence from a March conference and multiple company sources. Huang resigned as CEO on November 12 amid board investigations into national security implications and conflicts of interest. These developments, combined with the resulting media scrutiny, board probe, and leadership transition, make additional timely revelations less likely in the remaining weeks of 2026. While further leaks or investigations could surface, the rapid pace of the existing disclosures and Huang’s exit reduce the near-term window for a third report. Traders view the current two-affair consensus as the core scandal, with year-end resolution hinging on whether new, credible sourcing appears before December 31.
Rules
On November 8, 2026, Jensen Huang acknowledged in a message to NVIDIA employees that he had been unfaithful to his wife; news reports have identified the woman involved as Alice Huang. On November 11, 2026, The New York Times reported that Huang had also had an affair with Kimberly Powell, NVIDIA’s vice president of healthcare; Huang, Powell and NVIDIA have not confirmed that report. Huang has since resigned as NVIDIA’s CEO and from its board. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a qualifying outlet publishes a qualifying report of an affair between Jensen Huang and any person other than Alice Huang or Kimberly Powell. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An affair refers to a romantic or sexual relationship outside Jensen Huang’s marriage. The affair itself may have taken place at any time during his marriage; only the timing of the report or acknowledgment matters. The qualifying outlets are The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Financial Times, Reuters, the Associated Press, CNN, Bloomberg, ABC News, CBS News, NBC News and Fox News. Only news articles published on an outlet’s own platform qualify; editorials, opinion pieces, columns, broadcast or video segments, podcasts, social media posts and sponsored content will not qualify. A report will qualify if it: 1. presents the affair as fact; 2. reports the affair based on the outlet’s own sourcing, such as people familiar with the matter, documents or recordings (as in The New York Times’ November 11, 2026 report on Kimberly Powell); 3. reports an alleged affair between Jensen Huang and a specific person other than Alice Huang or Kimberly Powell, regardless of whether the outlet presents the allegation as credible; or 4. reports that Jensen Huang, directly or through his official or legal representatives, has acknowledged such an affair. Reports under 1 or 2 qualify whether or not the person involved is named or otherwise identified, provided they make clear that at least one affair was with someone other than Alice Huang and Kimberly Powell, for example by stating that Jensen Huang had at least three affairs. Reports referring to his affairs, infidelity or unfaithfulness which do not clearly identify a third affair (e.g., “Huang has been unfaithful for a while”) will not qualify. Allegations about an unnamed person that the outlet only relays from others, such as social media posts or other outlets’ reporting, will not qualify. A report under 4 qualifies only if it reports an acknowledgment, including one in private testimony that has been made public, that names a person other than Alice Huang and Kimberly Powell or makes clear that Huang was unfaithful with someone other than them (for example, by acknowledging three or more affairs or partners). Reports of acknowledgments that are not explicit and unambiguous, or that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest or immediately clarified as not being genuine, will not qualify. A qualifying report must be first published between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Reports that only reference or link to articles published before market creation will not qualify unless they themselves meet the requirements above. An article first published before market creation will qualify only if a later update first makes it meet the requirements above, in which case the time of the update governs. The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the qualifying outlets; for acknowledgments, official information from Jensen Huang or his official or legal representatives may also be used.