- Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?86¢86%
- Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?9¢9%
- Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?3¢3%
- Will Crimson Desert win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?2¢2%
- Will 007 First Light win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?1¢1%
- Will Pragmata win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?1¢1%
- Will Control Resonant win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?<1¢<1%
- Will Marvel's Wolverine win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?<1¢<1%
- Will Saros win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?<1¢<1%
- Will The Duskbloods win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?<1¢<1%
- Will Slay the Spire 2 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?<1¢<1%
- 85.5%Grand Theft Auto VI$76.1k Vol.
- 2%8.5%Resident Evil Requiem$17.8k Vol.
- 1%3.2%Phantom Blade Zero$14.5k Vol.
- 2.5%Crimson Desert$3.1k Vol.
- 1.1%007 First Light$2.2k Vol.
- 1%Pragmata$2.8k Vol.
- 0.7%Control Resonant$2.6k Vol.
- 0.3%Marvel's Wolverine$3.1k Vol.
- 0.2%Saros$1.7k Vol.
- 0.2%The Duskbloods$1.7k Vol.
- 0.2%Slay the Spire 2$4.1k Vol.
GTA VI's commanding 85.5% implied probability reflects its position as the clear frontrunner for The Game Awards Game of the Year, driven by sustained industry hype, record-breaking pre-release engagement, and expectations around its scale and cultural impact. Recent developments, including marketing surges and early critical buzz, have reinforced trader consensus around its dominance, while historical patterns show major open-world releases often sweep awards when momentum builds ahead of the December ceremony. Longshots like Resident Evil Requiem at 7.5% and Phantom Blade Zero at 3.9% remain distant due to narrower release windows and less pervasive narrative support. Upcoming factors such as final nominations, guild endorsements, and last-minute reviews could introduce volatility, though the current skin-in-the-game odds indicate strong barriers for any upset.
Rules
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.