- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?100¢100%
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0¢0%
- Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0¢0%
- Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0¢0%
- Will The Left win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0¢0%
- Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0¢0%
- Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0¢0%
- Will Party A win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0¢0%
- Will Party B win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0¢0%
- Will Party C win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0¢0%
- Will Party D win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0¢0%
- Will Party E win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0¢0%
The AfD secured the largest share of seats in the 6 September 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, capturing 43.8 percent of the vote and 39 of 83 mandates. This outcome reflected sustained voter consolidation in eastern Germany, more than doubling the party's 2021 result amid high turnout near 78 percent, while the CDU recorded its weakest state performance at 17.2 percent. Fragmented support across the SPD, Greens, Left, and BSW left no viable alternative bloc with comparable strength. The market's near-certain pricing for AfD as election winner aligns with these confirmed preliminary tallies. A shift would require official final results or a redefinition of "winner" to focus solely on government formation, though the party's firewall isolation makes the latter improbable without major procedural changes.
Rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).