- Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?100¢100%
- Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?0¢0%
- Will Robert Raimondo win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?0¢0%
- Will Ashley Kalus win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?0¢0%
- Will Jessica de la Cruz win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?0¢0%
- Will Candidate A win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?0¢0%
- Will Candidate B win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?0¢0%
- Will Candidate C win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?0¢0%
- Will Candidate D win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?0¢0%
- Will Candidate E win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?0¢0%
- Will Candidate F win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?0¢0%
- Will Candidate G win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?0¢0%
Aaron Guckian secured the Republican nomination for Rhode Island governor in the September 9, 2026 primary after the state Board of Elections certified his narrow victory over Elaine Pelino on September 15, following a rejected recount request that left margins unchanged at roughly 50.6% to 49.4%. Party delegates had earlier endorsed Guckian at the June convention by a 72-44 margin, reflecting his background as a former aide to Republican Gov. Don Carcieri and his emphasis on fiscal efficiency and affordability. The close contest highlighted divisions between more moderate and Trump-aligned factions within the state GOP, yet certification and official results have solidified trader consensus around Guckian as the nominee. Late-stage legal challenges or procedural reversals remain theoretically possible but face high barriers given the completed certification process.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.