- Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?88¢
- Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?82¢
- Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?49¢
- Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?48¢
- Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?45¢
- Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?27¢
- Will "A Place in Hell" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?26¢
- Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?24¢
- Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?22¢
- Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?16¢
- Will "Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?13¢
- Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?12¢
Wild Horse Nine leads early trader sentiment for 2027 Best Original Screenplay nominations, driven by Martin McDonagh’s festival momentum and critical acclaim following its fall circuit screenings. Jesse Eisenberg’s The Debut, Simon Rich’s Artificial, Mike Leigh’s Tender Loving Care, and Peter Gamble’s I Play Rocky round out the consensus top tier according to Variety’s October rankings, reflecting strong distributor campaigns from Searchlight, A24, Neon, Bleecker Street, and Amazon MGM. These contenders benefit from established writer-director pedigrees and timely personal storytelling that resonates with Academy voters. With eligibility closing December 31 and nominations voting set for mid-January 2027, upcoming NYFF and remaining festival reactions, plus early guild and critics’ circle nods, will shape momentum. Historical patterns favor films with broad critical support and targeted campaigns in this category, though late-breaking entries can still shift the field.
Rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.