- Will OpenRouter process less than 625T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?<1¢<1%
- Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?<1¢<1%
- Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?<1¢<1%
- Will OpenRouter process between 725T and 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?8¢8%
- Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?91¢91%
Strong growth in agentic workloads and adoption of low-cost large language models position OpenRouter token volume for the October 26–November 22 window well above 775 trillion. Recent platform data shows weekly totals exceeding 150–168 trillion tokens, fueled by AI agents that now generate roughly seven times the traffic of human users, with heavy prompt caching on models such as DeepSeek V4.1 Flash variants and GLM 5.3 Flash. New Claude 5.5 releases further lifted Anthropic share, while overall usage has risen more than 25-fold year-over-year amid expanding developer integrations and autonomous tooling. This momentum, visible in the latest weekly leaderboards, underpins the market’s 86.5% implied probability for the top band.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of tokens processed on OpenRouter for the four weeks of October 26 to November 22, 2026. The total number of tokens is the sum of the weekly totals displayed in the Top Models chart on OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings page (https://openrouter.ai/rankings#top-models) for the weeks of October 26, November 2, November 9 and November 16, 2026. OpenRouter's weeks run from 12:00 AM UTC on Monday to 11:59 PM UTC on Sunday, and a week's figures continue to update until the following week's figures are first displayed. This market will resolve according to the totals displayed for those four weeks once the figures for the week of November 23, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of November 23, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on November 27, 2026, this market will resolve according to the totals displayed for those four weeks at that time. This market will resolve based on the totals as displayed on the chart, including any rounding applied by OpenRouter. If the total falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.