- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get less than 10 million views on week 1?<1¢<1%
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get between 10 and 20 million views on week 1?84¢84%
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get between 20 and 30 million views on week 1?15¢15%
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get between 30 and 40 million views on week 1?2¢2%
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?<1¢<1%
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get at least 50 million views on week 1?<1¢<1%
- 2%0.2%<10M$1.8k Vol.
- 14%83.5%10-20M$6.3k Vol.
- 1%15%20-30M$2.6k Vol.
- 3%2.2%30-40M$1.2k Vol.
- 2%0.7%40-50M$1.1k Vol.
- 1%0.5%50M+$1.5k Vol.
The short 30-second Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now video, released November 10 to promote digital pre-loading ahead of the November 19 launch, has anchored trader sentiment around the 10-20 million views bracket. Its utilitarian focus on pre-order prompts and storage requirements, rather than extended cinematic storytelling, tempers expectations compared to the October launch trailer’s stronger trajectory, even as it incorporates fresh Vice City shots and soundtrack integration. Sustained franchise anticipation, including over $1 billion in preorders and ongoing social buzz, supports moderate accumulation on Rockstar’s YouTube channel without the explosive early spikes seen in prior entries. The nine-day window to launch offers limited additional catalysts for outsized growth.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" video posted by Rockstar Games (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yl5ELcmugI).