- Will Gianni Infantino be the next President of FIFA?79¢
- Will Claudio Tapia be the next President of FIFA?9¢
- Will Ramon Vega be the next President of FIFA?2¢
- Will Nasser Al-Khelaifi be the next President of FIFA?6¢
- Will Victor Montagliani be the next President of FIFA?1¢
- Will Salman bin Ebrahim Al Khalifa be the next President of FIFA?<1¢
- Will Patrice Motsepe be the next President of FIFA?<1¢
- Will Aleksander Čeferin be the next President of FIFA?4¢
- Will Dariusz Mioduski be the next President of FIFA?3¢
Gianni Infantino holds a dominant 79.5% implied probability in the FIFA presidential election market, driven by his confirmed candidacy for a fourth term in March 2027 and the absence of any credible challenger by the November 18 nomination deadline. Recent developments, including backlash over his scrapped FIFA Forward Enterprise plan to attract private investment in World Cup rights, prompted opposition from UEFA, AFC, and CONCACAF leaders, yet Infantino retains core support from African and South American confederations. Potential rivals such as Victor Montagliani have prioritized their own confederation roles instead, while low-probability names like Nasser Al-Khelaifi and Aleksander Čeferin reflect limited momentum for alternatives amid ongoing governance tensions. Trader consensus aligns with Infantino’s established alliances and the structural barriers facing late entrants.
Rules
The FIFA presidential election for the 2027–2031 term is scheduled to be held on March 18, 2027, at the 77th FIFA Congress. This market will resolve to the individual who is elected President of FIFA at the 2027 FIFA presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected President of FIFA by the FIFA Congress at the 2027 FIFA presidential election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker President of FIFA will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President of FIFA is elected by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.