- Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?51¢51%
- Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?37¢37%
- Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?5¢5%
- Will Alfonso Martínez Alcázar win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?3¢3%
- Will Raúl Morón Orozco win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?2¢2%
- Will Fabiola Alanís Sámano win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?<1¢<1%
- Will Marko Cortés Mendoza win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?<1¢<1%
- Will Carlos Herrera Tello win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?<1¢<1%
- Will Gabriela Molina Aguilar win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?<1¢<1%
- Will Celeste Ascencio Ortega win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?<1¢<1%
- Will Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?<1¢<1%
- Will Esteban González Nava win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?<1¢<1%
Recent polls for Michoacán’s June 2027 gubernatorial election show a tight contest among Morena’s Carlos Torres Piña, independent Grecia Quiroz of the Movimiento del Sombrero, and PAN’s Alfonso Martínez Alcázar, with leads often inside margins of error and undecided voters near 25 percent. Torres Piña benefits from the party’s statewide organization and incumbency, while Quiroz draws support as widow of assassinated Uruapan mayor Carlos Manzo and as a non-partisan option. Fragmented opposition coalitions and early-stage candidate positioning keep probabilities fluid. Security conditions, alliance negotiations, and further surveys through late 2026 could widen or narrow gaps before primaries and the official campaign begin. Trader pricing mirrors these polling fluctuations and structural uncertainties.
Rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.