- Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?93¢93%
- Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?7¢7%
- Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?<1¢<1%
- Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?<1¢<1%
- Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?<1¢<1%
- Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?<1¢<1%
- 8%92.5%<7m$12.3k Vol.
- 7%6.5%7m-9m$3.8k Vol.
- 2%0.8%9m-11m$2.9k Vol.
- 2%0.3%11m-13m$2.6k Vol.
- 0.3%13m-15m$1.6k Vol.
- 0.6%15m+$1.8k Vol.
Poor critical reception has sharply lowered trader expectations for “How to Rob a Bank” opening weekend gross. Reviews landing in the low-50s on Rotten Tomatoes and mid-40s on Metacritic, the weakest of director David Leitch’s career, highlight tonal inconsistency and flat stunt work despite a timely social-media heist premise and cast led by Nicholas Hoult and Zoë Kravitz. Pre-release tracking already pointed to a modest $8–15 million debut, but recent updates citing audience disinterest and competition in the November corridor have pushed consensus toward sub-$7 million results. With the wide theatrical release beginning November 13, limited presale momentum and the film’s $60 million-plus budget further reinforce the market’s strong preference for the lowest outcome band.
Rules
This market will resolve according to how much "How to Rob a Bank" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (November 13 - 15). This market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the "Box Office" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the "Weekend" figure for the movie's first weekend on the "Domestic Weekend" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page. If neither source has a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to the figure for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.