- Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?28¢28%
Google has positioned Gemini Spark—its always-on personal AI agent, now integrated as Task mode in the Gemini app—exclusively behind paid tiers since its May 2026 announcement at I/O. The feature requires a Google AI Pro subscription at $19.99 per month or Ultra at $99.99+, with access expanded from initial Ultra-only limits to Pro users in the US and additional markets by late July. Multiple official support pages and recent October 2026 updates confirm it remains unavailable on the free tier or the $4.99 AI Plus plan, even as Google further restricted free users to the Flash-Lite model starting October 9. This reflects a deliberate strategy to gate advanced agentic capabilities, including background task automation and app integrations, behind revenue-generating plans amid broader free-tier model downgrades. Traders monitoring resolution criteria should watch for any policy reversal ahead of key earnings or product events.
Rules
On September 8, 2026, Meta launched Muse, a personal AI agent that runs on a cloud computer dedicated to each user, and made it free to use, including the cloud computer. Google's similar product, Gemini Spark, announced on May 19, 2026, is available only on paid Google AI plans. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google makes Gemini Spark available for use without requiring a paid subscription or other paid entitlement by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Free access subject to usage limits will qualify. Access through a free trial or promotional offer of a paid plan will not qualify. Free access must be launched and publicly accessible through an official distribution channel, including via open beta or a gradual rollout to users without a paid subscription or other paid entitlement. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to certain countries will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.