- Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be below 1%?<1¢
- Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 1% and 2%?6¢
- Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 2% and 3%?6¢
- Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?52¢
- Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%?32¢
DICK'S Sporting Goods core-business comparable sales face uncertainty heading into Q3 2026, with Polymarket odds clustered around 1-2% (46%) and 3-4% (39.5%). The company's Q2 results showed 4.9% growth in the Dick's segment, fueled by broad category gains, higher average tickets, increased transactions, and FIFA World Cup demand, while management reaffirmed full-year guidance of 2.5-4% for the core business. Analyst consensus points to roughly 3.5% for the quarter. Key variables include sustained consumer spending amid a promotional athletic footwear and apparel environment, margin pressure from promotions, and the timing of holiday inventory positioning ahead of the November 24 earnings release. The closely matched probabilities reflect trader focus on whether Q2 momentum persists or seasonal and competitive headwinds moderate growth toward the lower end of guidance.
Rules
This market will resolve according to DICK'S Sporting Goods' announced Dick's business comparable sales growth for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Dick's Sporting Goods' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the Dick's business comparable sales growth figure will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.