- Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?2¢2%
Apple’s Vision Pro successor remains in early exploratory stages under codenames like N224, with Bloomberg reporting that any redesigned model addressing weight, bulk, and cost is unlikely before late 2028 or early 2029. Apple refreshed the original headset with an M5 chip in 2025 but has since shifted mixed-reality resources toward smart glasses targeted for late 2027, leaving the headset category effectively on ice. This timeline, backed by consistent analyst consensus on development pauses and reassignments, underpins the market’s 97.7% “No” odds for a pre-2027 release. While an unforeseen acceleration in component integration or competitive pressure could theoretically compress schedules, the current engineering and strategic priorities make such shifts improbable within the next few months.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.