- Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?8¢
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?27¢
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?60¢
- Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?<1¢
- Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?<1¢
- Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?<1¢
- Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?<1¢
- Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?<1¢
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?3¢
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Alphabet leads trader sentiment for third-largest company by market cap at end-September due to its sustained AI-driven gains, including Gemini model advancements and cloud revenue growth that have narrowed the gap with Apple. NVIDIA remains firmly first amid ongoing GPU demand, while Apple’s position as second hinges on iPhone 17 cycle expectations and services stability. Microsoft trails with lower implied odds, reflecting slower relative momentum in recent quarters. The tight Alphabet-Apple contest stems from comparable market caps near $4.2–4.5 trillion, where even modest stock moves over the next six weeks could flip the ranking; upcoming earnings and AI announcements represent key swing factors in this closely watched dynamic.