- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?5¢
- Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?<1¢
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?76¢
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?20¢
- Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?<1¢
- Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?<1¢
- Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?<1¢
- Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?<1¢
- Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?<1¢
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Apple holds a strong 76.5% implied probability of finishing as the second-largest company by market capitalization at the end of September 2026, ahead of Alphabet at 19.5% and NVIDIA at just 4.5%. Current rankings show NVIDIA leading at roughly $5.25 trillion, driven by sustained AI accelerator demand and data-center spending, while Apple sits second near $4.63 trillion on steady services revenue and consumer hardware sales. Alphabet trails at about $4.1 trillion. The narrow gap between second and third, combined with typical monthly volatility in tech valuations, keeps the race competitive, yet Apple's relative stability and limited downside risk over the next six weeks support trader consensus. Key near-term catalysts include any late-August or September earnings updates and broader market reactions to AI infrastructure trends.