- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?100¢100%
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0¢0%
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0¢0%
- Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0¢0%
- Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0¢0%
- Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0¢0%
- Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0¢0%
- Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0¢0%
- Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0¢0%
- Will Company B be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0¢0%
- Will Company C be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0¢0%
- Will Company D be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?0¢0%
Apple's commanding 100% implied probability in this market reflects its firmly established second-place ranking by market capitalization, sitting at roughly $4.9 trillion behind NVIDIA's $5.5 trillion lead as of late September 2026. Strong consumer demand for iPhones and services revenue, combined with AI feature integrations across its ecosystem, have sustained Apple's valuation edge over competitors like Alphabet and Microsoft. The substantial gap from third place leaves little room for last-minute shifts, though an extraordinary final-day stock swing or major unexpected news could theoretically disrupt the outcome before resolution.
Rules
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.