- ¿Será la puntuación más alta obtenida por un modelo Google Gemini en el Último Examen de la Humanidad en 2026 del 60% o superior?34¢
- ¿Logrará un modelo Google Gemini una puntuación del 65% o más en el Examen Final de la Humanidad en 2026?12¢
- ¿Obtendrá un modelo Google Gemini una puntuación igual o superior al 70% en el Último Examen de la Humanidad en 2026?4¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".