- ¿Publicará Elon Musk entre 140 y 164 tuits del 3 al 5 de septiembre de 2026?<1¢
- ¿Publicará Elon Musk entre 165 y 189 tuits del 3 al 5 de septiembre de 2026?<1¢
- ¿Publicará Elon Musk entre 190 y 214 tuits del 3 al 5 de septiembre de 2026?<1¢
- ¿Publicará Elon Musk más de 240 tuits entre el 3 y el 5 de septiembre de 2026?<1¢
- ¿Publicará Elon Musk entre 115 y 139 tuits del 3 al 5 de septiembre de 2026?1¢
- ¿Elon Musk publicará entre 215 y 239 tuits del 3 al 5 de septiembre de 2026?<1¢
- ¿Publicará Elon Musk menos de 40 tuits entre el 3 y el 5 de septiembre de 2026?18¢
- ¿Publicará Elon Musk entre 40 y 64 tuits desde el 3 de septiembre hasta el 5 de septiembre de 2026?46¢
- ¿Publicará Elon Musk entre 65 y 89 tuits desde el 3 de septiembre hasta el 5 de septiembre de 2026?28¢
- ¿Publicará Elon Musk de 90 a 114 tuits entre el 3 y el 5 de septiembre de 2026?9¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Recent three-day windows, including August 31–September 2, have resolved in the 40-64 range, establishing a baseline pace of roughly 13–21 posts per day that aligns with the market’s leading 45.5% implied probability for the September 3–5 period. Traders price in continued moderate volume absent major political or product announcements, consistent with Elon Musk’s August monthly total of 880–919 posts and the absence of weekend catalysts that historically drive spikes. The 65–89 bracket at 27.5% captures the potential for modest upticks from routine engagement on X platform updates or Tesla commentary, while sub-40 and 90-plus outcomes remain discounted given the recent pattern of steady but contained activity.